As Israel’s relationships with Jordan and Egypt strain, water and energy shift from instruments of regional integration into tools of strategic competition, reshaping the Middle East’s cold peace.
The fallout from the Iran War has not been kind to European economies. A UK leadership change presents an opportunity to invest in combatting gas flaring in North Africa, so as to bolster security of supply, and tie ongoing international diplomatic efforts on Libya to that agenda.
The shortcomings in the UK’s use of maritime power during the US war with Iran will provide lessons to the government on the strategic role the Royal Navy should play in the future.
Trump’s entanglement in Iran ended a series of unprovoked attacks which the US claimed as successes. It is demonstrating the limits of US military power and is at variance with the goals of the National Defence Strategy.
The US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding may ease immediate pressure on energy markets, but by deferring the hardest questions, it risks entrenching crisis rather than ending it.
With the Strait of Hormuz closed, national oil reserves have been steadily depleting, and will empty by the end of the summer, halting most economic activity, globally.
A veteran Singaporean diplomat and scholar reflects on today’s strategic uncertainties and enduring myths, appealing for calmer and more sober perspectives on the challenges.
Israel’s campaign to disarm of Hezbollah may delegitimise the Lebanese state faster than it degrades the militia, reproducing the conditions that have so far sustained Hezbollah.
As Iraq faces regional war, fiscal uncertainty and armed-group politics, Ankara is seeking to turn security cooperation, trade and connectivity into strategic leverage.
Despite intelligence dominance in the war with Iran, events suggest the US intelligence community is having little influence on White House decision-making.
