A blockade striking Iran’s Economy will provide direct leverage in negotiations, but that it provokes questions that are going unanswered should impel caution.
The US government tried to provide political risk insurance and guarantees to shipping and energy firms operating in the Gulf in an effort to keep the Hormuz Strait open. Here is the story why the scheme did not work.
US-Israeli strikes suggest preferred political end-states. Each make assumptions of resilience, anti-regime sentiment and air power effects. Do these assumptions still hold?
As the Middle East is facing grave uncertainty against the backdrop of what is being called the 'Third Gulf War’, Ankara is managing an uneasy relationship with Iran.
Significant numbers of advanced munitions have been expended, revealing that battlefield dominance matters less than the industrial capacity to replenish critical stockpiles.
Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz without formally closing it. The question facing Washington is not how to secure the waterway – it is whether any realistic military operation actually can.
Ripples of economic disruption radiating from the attack on Iran by Israel and the US give notice of the effect a war over Taiwan would spread through the world.